Open (More or Less) Post on Covid 54
Aug. 16th, 2022 01:46 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)

So it's time for another open post. The rules are the same as before:
1. If you plan on parroting the party line of the medical industry and its paid shills, please go away. This is a place for people to talk openly, honestly, and freely about their concerns that the party line in question is dangerously flawed and that actions being pushed by the medical industry et al. are causing injury and death. It is not a place for you to dismiss those concerns. Anyone who wants to hear the official story and the arguments in favor of it can find those on hundreds of thousands of websites.
2. If you plan on insisting that the current situation is the result of a deliberate plot by some villainous group of people or other, please go away. There are tens of thousands of websites currently rehashing various conspiracy theories about the Covid-19 outbreak and the vaccines. This is not one of them. What we're exploring is the likelihood that what's going on is the product of the same arrogance, incompetence, and corruption that the medical industry and its tame politicians have displayed so abundantly in recent decades. That possibility deserves a space of its own for discussion, and that's what we're doing here.
3. If you plan on using rent-a-troll derailing or disruption tactics, please go away. I'm quite familiar with the standard tactics used by troll farms to disrupt online forums, and am ready, willing, and able -- and in fact quite eager -- to ban people permanently for engaging in them here. Oh, and I also lurk on other Covid-19 vaccine skeptic blogs, so I'm likely to notice when the same posts are showing up on more than one venue.
4. If you don't believe in treating people with common courtesy, please go away. I have, and enforce, a strict courtesy policy on my blogs and online forums, and this is no exception. The sort of schoolyard bullying that takes place on so many other internet forums will get you deleted and banned here. No, I don't care if you disagree with that: my journal, my rules.
With that said, the floor is open for discussion.
Ethical Skeptic
Date: 2022-08-21 05:17 pm (UTC)We've been looking at excess mortality and vaccine-related death reports and coming to concerning conclusions for over a year now, but this is the first time I have seen an attempt to describe:
How exactly are people dying? Which causes of death have increased and which have been less affected?
When did the changes begin? Do increases in particular causes of death map to the vaccination timeline?
What is the real expected baseline? Given that the median age of covid death was 75-80, excess disease deaths should have created a "pull-forward effect" with fewer deaths expected in the following years. So even average levels of mortality would be higher than expected at this point.
In tracking the weekly data releases from the CDC, The Ethical Skeptic has also caught them withholding death reporting and recategorizing deaths in suspicious ways, e.g. away from myocarditis/pericarditis.
I'm not sure what I think of The Ethical Skeptic overall. He is clearly a skilled analyst and "lateral thinker", but he has a habit of couching his presentations and arguments in extremely obtuse language which gives him an air of authority/mastery that he seems to enjoy, and he tends to issue proclamations rather than engaging in debate and conversations with others.
Some of his other analytical proclamations include:
--SARS-Cov2 has been around since 2017/2018.
--SARS-Cov2 survives sewage treatment and spreads via biosolids application to agricultural fields.
--At least some of the observed rise in global temperature is being driven from within the planet.
I have to say I'm skeptical of all of those, though I wouldn't entirely rule them out. Brian Mowrey at Unglossed has made solid arguments for the way laboratory development can accelerate viral evolution and thereby invalidate "molecular clock" approaches.
Looking at his charts in the most recent post (https://theethicalskeptic.com/2022/08/20/houston-we-have-a-problem-part-1-of-3/), I would note that there was a dip in most causes of death in early 2021 which helps to generate his positive correlations using April 2021 as a start date. Just looking at the graphs, the trends *look* very concerning for cancer and nephritis, and to a lesser extent all "non-covid natural cause deaths", but the existence of an April 2021 inflection point is much less clear for the others, like diabetes or Alzheimer's.
So...I would not take this as an authoritative analysis of the situation, but I see it as an important first attempt to quantify the damage and connect it to the vaccination campaign, and I think the evidence is pretty convincing even if it might be a bit exaggerated.
Re: Ethical Skeptic
Date: 2022-08-21 09:05 pm (UTC)In fact the only ones that went up at that particulardate are nephritis, septicemia, cancer.
Going up, staying on trendline since Jan 2019:
Excess non-covid natural deaths, all other ICD codes, heart diseases.The seasonal amplitude on the latter is fascinating.
That alzheimers trend I would start in 2016, gradual after big jump 2015. Other respiratory, as well. Now it's just noisier.
Influenza decreasing on trend since end of 2018.
Lower respiratory, no change longterm. Noisy short term trends.
Diabetes mellitus rocketed up and plateaued high Jan 2020 on.
Re: Ethical Skeptic
Date: 2022-08-22 01:09 am (UTC)Re: Ethical Skeptic
Date: 2022-08-22 02:36 pm (UTC)Re: Ethical Skeptic
Date: 2022-08-22 11:24 pm (UTC)Re: Ethical Skeptic
Date: 2022-08-23 10:12 am (UTC)https://hiddencomplexity.substack.com/p/excess-deaths-in-britain-and-the
(Discusses papers that discuss both Covid and fox spike as mechanism for both Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes)
Like much of what his Substack discusses, most of the science is above my head