Open (More or Less) Post on Covid 86

[ecosophia]

As we proceed through the second year of these open posts, it's pretty clear that the official narrative is cracking as the toll of deaths and injuries from the Covid vaccines rises steadily and the vaccines themselves demonstrate their total uselessness at preventing Covid infection or transmission. It's still important to keep watch over the mis-, mal- and nonfeasance of our self-proclaimed health gruppenfuehrers, and the disastrous results of the Covid mania, but I think it's also time to begin thinking about what might be possible as the existing medical industry reels under the impact of its own self-inflicted injuries. 

So it's time for another open post. The rules are the same as before: 

1. If you plan on parroting the party line of the medical industry and its paid shills, please go away. This is a place for people to talk openly, honestly, and freely about their concerns that the party line in question is dangerously flawed and that actions being pushed by the medical industry et al. are causing injury and death. It is not a place for you to dismiss those concerns. Anyone who wants to hear the official story and the arguments in favor of it can find those on hundreds of thousands of websites.

2. If you plan on insisting that the current situation is the result of a deliberate plot by some villainous group of people or other, please go away. There are tens of thousands of websites currently rehashing various conspiracy theories about the Covid-19 outbreak and the vaccines. This is not one of them. What we're exploring is the likelihood that what's going on is the product of the same arrogance, incompetence, and corruption that the medical industry and its tame politicians have displayed so abundantly in recent decades. That possibility deserves a space of its own for discussion, and that's what we're doing here. 
 
3. If you plan on using rent-a-troll derailing or disruption tactics, please go away. I'm quite familiar with the standard tactics used by troll farms to disrupt online forums, and am ready, willing, and able -- and in fact quite eager -- to ban people permanently for engaging in them here. Oh, and I also lurk on other Covid-19 vaccine skeptic blogs, so I'm likely to notice when the same posts are showing up on more than one venue. 

4. If you don't believe in treating people with common courtesy, please go away. I have, and enforce, a strict courtesy policy on my blogs and online forums, and this is no exception. The sort of schoolyard bullying that takes place on so many other internet forums will get you deleted and banned here. Also, please don't drag in current quarrels about sex, race, religions, etc. No, I don't care if you disagree with that: my journal, my rules. 

With that said, the floor is open for discussion.

Comments

The latest trends in excess mortality

[boccaccio]

This week I did my monthly review of the numbers and largely the same trends are in place as for the past months.

In the Netherlands, excess mortality rose from around par (0%) to over 10% in week 10 and 11 (start March 6th). This indicates that another wave of excess mortality is starting. This comes at the heels of the last wave Corona virus that started on Jan 23th and peaked on March 7th. This confirms the usual pattern where excess mortality rises and falls with the waves of the Corona virus with a time lag of a few weeks. Apparently the timelag for the variant of the last wave was a bit more than usual, but it seems that excess mortality is now responding to the increased virus prevalence in Feb.

A new development is that a new wave already started on March 15th. The descending part of the previous wave was only halfway at that date, but since then the amount of virus in the sewage has been rising. It remains to be seen if this is due to the new variant from India that is rumoured to be more virulent. It happened only twice before that a new wave was already rising while the previous hadn’t completed its cycle. This was when Omicron replaced Delta and when the first Omicron variant was replaced by the second Omicron variant.

The English data on the causes of mortality are only available till Feb 24th. England had no excess mortality from late January till that moment, just as the Netherlands. Still there is excess in the category “at home” and in the category liver diseases. This suggests that more than expected people died suddenly, and would be congruent with the hypothesis that excess mortality is caused by damage done by spike protein (please note that we would expect a significant mortality deficit if everything was fine, so mortality being on par with the expectation based on the statistical model is in fact not so good as it sounds.)

So the trends that I’ve reported here since at least last December are continuing. I’m not sure if it is helpful to repeat myself, but they are:
- Excess mortality moves in waves
- The waves follow (usually with a few weeks time lag) the waves in the prevalence of the Corona virus as measured by sewage data
- The English data show excess mortality in categories that are associated with spike damage, and no excess mortality in categories not associated with spike damage (cancer being the only exception)
- Thus it still looks like excess mortality is mainly caused by cumulative spike exposure

PS The big question is how the vaxxed and unvaxxed fare compared to each other. Unfortunately comparative data are treated by the governments and agencies with a secrecy on par with Biden’s nuclear codes. I can only infer something by comparing high vaxxed and low vaxxed countries that are otherwise as similar as possible. In the EU Portugal (highest vaxxed) and Bulgaria (lowest) are interesting. Here I also see the same pattern that I already mentioned before: the unvaxxed countries had higher excess mortality, but since spring 2022 the tables are turned. In early February Portugal was around 0% while Bulgaria had a mortality *deficit* of 19%. The deficit is of course the “pull forward effect”: after the most vulnerable members of the tribe have died, one would expect a period of lower mortality. So far there has only been significant pull forward effects in low-vaxxed countries but non in high vaxxed countries. This suggests that after initial “success” we are now still in the territory of negative vaxx effectiveness. Again, this has all been said before, but it might be helpful to report that the latest data are still in line with the earlier findings and conclusions.

Re: The latest trends in excess mortality

[escorcher]

There's the same happening in the UK, Boccaccio.

This week's UK all cause deaths are up to 9.3% above the average after falling back to near zero for a few weeks:

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/weekending17march2023

I'd say there's something to your theory and probably going to become more so, especially when we join it to your other post. Add in any immune evasion changes to the prevailing virus for a triple linked feedbacking effect. :-/

(For info, UK daily infection totals starting to decrease slowly again but all happening with the last increase in infections affecting the elderly in particular. Less spike in the sense of no big waves of infection but possibly more spike for some in the sense of more longer lasting chronic infections for a significant, predominantly older, minority - number 3 in your last post.)

Re: The latest trends in excess mortality

[escorcher]

(Oh, and also number 1 as well as number 3 in your last post too.)

-------------------

This is interesting to add concerning those of working age - what's going on here?

'Why are work absence rates skyrocketing?'

https://philipmcmillan.substack.com/p/why-are-work-absence-rates-are-skyrocketing

Re: The latest trends in excess mortality

[homeopathic_meditations]

On your last comment regarding excess mortality in EU countries, there's this study from Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, which finds strong positive correlation between vaccination uptake in 2021 and excess deaths in 2022. The article is in preprint, and therefore not peer reviewed, but interesting nonetheless.

I came across it from Dr. John Campbell's youtube channel. If you are interested in his commentary you can listen to it here.

Re: The latest trends in excess mortality

[(Anonymous)]

the repetition is defintely useful, Boccaccio. thanks for keeping up the analysis.