Re: Counteroffensive

Date: 2023-06-19 11:02 pm (UTC)
ecosophia: (Default)
From: [personal profile] ecosophia
1) Oog. That's certainly not an election I would have chosen to start a battle. Zelensky needs a better astrologer.

2) This is an existential struggle for all parties involved. The overtly stated goal of US elite groups for years now, since our attempt to conquer the Middle East failed so abjectly, has been to break Russia apart into a collection of weak states that could be stripped of wealth, so that the US can prop up its faltering empire on the proceeds. That was the point of the 2014 coup d'etat the US sponsored in Ukraine, and the Ukrainian invasion of the Russian-held Donbass that Russia forestalled by its invasion in February of last year. The sanctions levied by the US and its allies were expected to bankrupt Russia, while the Ukrainian army was prepared to fight a defensive war that would cost Russia more than it could pay.

The problem with that was that Russia flipped the script. It turned out that most of the world, crucially including China and India, had zero interest in playing along with the sanctions, and so the Russian economy didn't collapse. Furthermore, once the Russian leadership figured out what kind of game the Ukrainians were playing, they changed their own strategy and tactics accordingly, played to their own strengths, and pushed Ukraine into a war it couldn't win. Now, if Russia wins, nobody is going to be afraid of US sanctions or the US military, the collapse of the dollar and of the US economy will not be long delayed, and the clique that manages Biden will end up with zero chance of a second term. Anything short of a decisive Ukrainian victory will be a disaster for the US -- and anything short of a decisive Russian victory will be a disaster for Russia. "This shall end when one is dead," to borrow a quote from "Rikki-Tikki-Tavi."
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