Overall I think Mowrey is just saying that there isn't an *obvious* signal of vaccine deaths in global all-cause mortality, especially over the shorter timescales immediately following mass vaccination which would be more of a smoking gun. Attempts to "prove" that the shots either are or are not causing excess deaths based solely on analysis of mortality data are going to be incomplete and involve a lot of cherry picking or questionable math.
All such analyses end up making broad assumptions, many of which will be wrong, thus they are one step up from models in terms of usefulness/uselessness. Although I don't think he is entirely correct, I appreciate Ethical Skeptic's analyses as they are more granular and attempt to partition excess deaths between multiple factors, e.g. this thread: https://twitter.com/EthicalSkeptic/status/1612191046636552199
Re: death rates
https://unglossed.substack.com/p/american-excess-mortality-does-not/comment/11795910
Overall I think Mowrey is just saying that there isn't an *obvious* signal of vaccine deaths in global all-cause mortality, especially over the shorter timescales immediately following mass vaccination which would be more of a smoking gun. Attempts to "prove" that the shots either are or are not causing excess deaths based solely on analysis of mortality data are going to be incomplete and involve a lot of cherry picking or questionable math.
All such analyses end up making broad assumptions, many of which will be wrong, thus they are one step up from models in terms of usefulness/uselessness. Although I don't think he is entirely correct, I appreciate Ethical Skeptic's analyses as they are more granular and attempt to partition excess deaths between multiple factors, e.g. this thread: https://twitter.com/EthicalSkeptic/status/1612191046636552199